How can you bet on fixed matches?

2019/12/28    

Do you have an experience betting on fixed matches? Have you ever wondered how to recognise a match if it´s to be fixed or not? In the following article we will give you clues and help you not to be tricked by the Fixed Match Tipping Scam and we will explain fixed matches.

First things first, disregard any messages received on email, on social media posts or text messages. These messages are about selling details for a future event, where they say is already fixed. Try your best to ignore them all, don’t reply and certainly, don’t send money. Just think about it. If it´s true that they know for a fact that the result is fixed, why don’t they take advantage of that knowledge for their own benefit instead of wasting time sending out those messages. The problem is that by doing so they can become vulnerable to criminal prosecution because they can expose themselves to the authorities investigating the fixing of sports events.

 

THE SCAM KNOWN AS ¨THE FIXED MATCHES GAME¨

I am pretty sure you have already seen some Facebook pages where tips for fixed matches were promoted, but what you need to know is that when someone is offering to give you some information about fixed matches while asking for money is a scam already. These people are only interested in your money and have no real knowledge or information about the games. They are just online scammers and you need to be careful not to fall into their trap. If you were wondering how does it work, here is your answer. The scammers are paying on a future football matches, for the given information. For example, they get 100 responses when they reassure they know the match is fixed. So what they do next is that they send a message to one-third of the people interested in the information that the home team is going to win. Then they inform another third of the group that the away team is going to have the victory. And lastly, they say to the final third that the game is going to end in a draw. When the match finishes, obviously two-thirds of the group will lose and will feel cheated, but let´s remember that one third will actually win the betting tip and will now think that the scammers are not actually scammers, but have some really valuable information that resulted true. The next step would be sending new emails for new matches, but asking for double the price. The group gets divided again into three thirds and the circle starts all over again. Now you see why we said earlier that is best if you don’t reply to any messages received regarding this, so nobody can scam you. And we will say it again, don’t send any money.

HOW CAN YOU RECOGNIZE A FIXED MATCH?

After reading all of the above, now you have no doubt that match-fixing is a real thing. And it does happen in a lot of other sports besides football, like basketball, tennis, cricket etc. But let´s see some of the signs of fixed matches.

  1. IRREGULAR PRE-MATCH ODD EXAMPLES

Let´s say the odds are 2.30 for the game Arsenal-Chelsea, in favour of Arsenal. What happens next is that a lot of money starts flowing for Arsenal to win. So the bookmakers cut Arsenal´s odds correspondingly. You can see there is a lot of buying and selling in the betting market, which makes it similar to a financial market. As the interest for Arsenal to win increases, their odds decrease. So the conclusion is pretty simple. The odds reflect the money that bettors are giving for a particular outcome. So what can we actually learn from this? The odds should correctly reflect the real possibility of an outcome because we should keep in mind that they also reflect the demand and the supply. We can clearly see this in the Serie A, where clubs help each other in order to have favourable results at the end of the season. Here the odds for a draw become pretty irregular because they are frequently listed as shorter than even money. For example, they were favoured for a draw at 76 ends of season matches and resulted with 30 of those 76. They were listed to draw at kickoff at less than even money. In 2000/2001, in the Serie A season 22 matches out of 30 finished with a draw. We can conclude that the teams have made an agreement to secure some desirable result for both of them. But we can still see some situations where an unexpected drop in the odds happens for a drawn result and this doesn’t automatically mean that the match was fixed. If this happens, the best way to make money is to back the draw before the punters start stalking and before the odds for a draw drop. But once they do drop, if you want to make a profit you should lay the draw shorter odds on any betting exchange.

  1. IRREGULAR IN-PLAY ODDS EXAMPLES

Another thing that has been observed are the irregular in-play odds that are actually similar to pre-match betting and obviously tell us that something is not as it´s supposed to be and that the match-fixers are also trying to take advantage here. Lately and in the recent years, there have been many examples of irregular in-play odds and other betting patterns that have alarmed authorities for the impact it has. One example is the match between the Swedish Jönköpings Södra and Syrianska in 2014.  There were irregular in-play odds for the over 3.5 goals market. Normally the odds for this particular betting system are between 2.5 and 3.00, so the odds for over 3.5 goals (or minimum 4 goals) were as low as even money. Fifteen minutes into the game the score was still 0-0, so the odds have dropped to 1.50, which was the crucial moment that people found interesting. Then, in the 21st minute, the home team scored, so the odds increased to 1.70. Then people started betting money on the under 4.5 goals market, when in 51st minute another goal was scored. This was actually a clear sign that the match-fixers knew how the game would end (with 4 goals scored). And the game had that score at the end, indeed.

  1. IRREGULAR OFFICIATING EXAMPLES

We are aware that the referees often make mistakes and even though we can complain about their bad officiating, we still accept their errors of judgement. But the irregular officiating is something completely different. So how can we separate a simple error of judgement from a referee that is actually trying to fix a result? One example is the Bundesliga referee scandal from 2005, where referee Robert Hoyzer actually confessed that he has bet on and also fixed matches in the German Cup and Regionalliga. He gave two very controversial penalties to Paderborn, which changed the course of the game. Even though Hamburg led 2-0 after 30 minutes of the game, in the 35th minute the first penalty was given to Paderborn and some time later, Mpenza was sent off. The second penalty was also hard to believe, so Paderborn at the end won the match with a result of 4-2.Not only one, but four referees were concerned with Hoyzer´s officiating and expressed  their concerns to the German Football Association. There was a criminal investigation going on which resulted with Hoyzer being sentenced to prison for 2 years and 5 months. He was also banned for life from having anything to do with football again. Another example of a referee that was also banned for life and was sentenced to 1 year and 6 months in prison was Dominik Marks. Because they were eliminated from the German Cup, Hamburg got awarded €2 million in compensation. Not all referee scandals are connected to football, though. Let´s remember the 2007 NBA referee drama, where even FBI got involved.

  1. IRREGULAR PERFORMANCES EXAMPLES

It is completely normal to accept that the players can make mistakes, of course. A poor pass, a dropped catch, a poor attempt on goal etc. Sometimes, though, we see players doing really questionable things that may makes us wonder why. Talking about suspicious moments, let us remember Ferhat Kaplan´s ¨attempted save¨ when Wesley Sneijder striked in 2015. The point shaving scheme started in 1980 with the Boston College basketball players who were paid off by underworld gamblers in order to win basketball games, by less than the point spread. Hill didn’t want to be prosecuted and go to jail, so he notified the authorities.

  1. IRREGULAR RESULTS EXAMPLES

People usually get upset when they think that some team is definitely going to win and then, they lose. Let´s take the example of Blackburn when they won against Manchester United at Old Trafford in 2011 or when Hercules won against Barcelona 2-0 in 2010. That match had the odds of 29.00 for Barcelona to win. Still, they lost. But even though the result wasn’t probable, it doesn’t make it suspicious, either. When we talk about irregular results we are talking about results that really don’t make any sense whatsoever. So let´s take the example of Nigeria in 2013, where clubs tried to increase the goal difference in their two key matches that ended in 67-0 and 79-0. This story ended with the referees and other officials banned for life and the clubs were suspended for 10 years.

FINAL THOUGHT

After analysing all of the above, we can conclude that the match-fixing will still continue, even though authorities are trying to implement laws against it. But, the good thing is that we can use our logic to see if a match will actually be fixed. So, let us finish this article with the most important thing that was already mentioned above: if someone is asking for money in exchange for any kind of information about fixed results, be smarter than that and don’t do it.

 

 

 

 


2019/12/28